How accurate are Groundhog Day forecasts? Here are the stats

Source NBC Local
Original Load Date Feb. 2, 2026, 2:01 p.m.
Last Updated Feb. 2, 2026, 2:01 p.m.
Original URL https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/how-accurate-are-groundhog-day-forecasts-here-are-the-stats/3885073/

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It’s hardly surprising that after two straight weeks of sub-freezing temperatures that the Chicago area was looking for any sign of hope they could get on Groundhog Day. The tradition of Groundhog Day dates back centuries, with the conceit that if a groundhog emerges from its burrow and sees its sh...